Moore’s Law Is Ending — Here’s 7 Technologies That Could Bring It Back To Life | Answers With Joe

Moore’s Law states that computer processing power will double every 2 years, but we may be reaching a limit to this exponential growth. Thankfully, some new technologies may be turning that around.

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LINKS LINKS LINKS:

https://phys.org/news/2016-05-graphene-based-transistor-clock-processors.html

Computerphile on the physics of computer chips

Computerphile on the end of Moore’s Law:

http://www.livescience.com/52207-faster-3d-computer-chip.html

https://www.wired.com/2009/12/functional-molecular-transistor/

https://arstechnica.com/gadgets/2015/07/scientists-build-single-molecule-transistor-gated-with-individual-atoms/

http://news.mit.edu/2013/computing-with-light-0704

Michio Kaku on Moore’s Law

https://www.engadget.com/2016/02/26/scientists-built-a-book-sized-protein-powered-biocomputer/

Harvard cracks DNA storage, crams 700 terabytes of data into a single gram

http://computer.howstuffworks.com/dna-computer.htm

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moore%27s_law

https://www.pcper.com/news/Storage/IDF-2016-Intel-Demo-Optane-3D-XPoint-Announces-Optane-Testbed-Enterprise-Customers

SUMMARY:

Gordon E. Moore was one of the co-founders of Intel and first proposed was came to be known as Moore’s Law, which predicted that computer power would double every 2 years.

For nearly 50 years, the industry kept pace with this prediction, but in recent years there’s been a slowdown. 2 main reasons are heat and the quantum tunneling effect that occurs at the atomic scales.

Some of the technologies that have been theorized to break through this barrier include:

Graphene processors. Graphene carries electricity far better than traditional silicon processors, but is currently very expensive to produce.

Three Dimensional Chips. Some manufacturers are experimenting with 3-D chips that combine processing and memory in one place to improve speed.

Molecular transistors. Transistors that use a single molecule to transfer electricity.

Photon transistors. These take electrons out of the process entirely and replaces them with laser beams.

Quantum computers. These long-hyped machines could perform multiple calculations at once by using the superposition of quantum particles to process information.

Protein computers. These use folding proteins to make calculations.

And finally, DNA computers. DNA is the perfect data storage device, allowing scientists to store 700 terabytes of information in only one gram. But it can also be used in logic gates and are being tested in a processing capacity.

39 ответов на “Moore’s Law Is Ending — Here’s 7 Technologies That Could Bring It Back To Life | Answers With Joe”

  1. 4-D Computer "Good Morning! I did your taxes, applied for and negotiated you great pay for your new job and started the coffee. You start your new job in two hours so i am making breakfast and starting the shower for you in ten minutes…I also got you a date for tonight, she's great. I already talked to her Mom.

  2. EDIT: you already covered what I wrote, but I felt I had to interject at the beginning of you video.

    EDIT 2:…..(*nod)…dog….love it.
    OP:
    moores law(according to gordon moore) was that "transistor density" would double, ,not specifically processing power…this was, early on, a pleasant side effect It was the industry that twisted this..media etc…just pointing that out…moore's law already ended 😉 people just like to say moore's law…and it's not even a law 🙂 as we know them..e.g. laws of physics.

  3. Moore's law is crap. There is 2 major producers of computer chips in the world so they give chips out based on people's expectations(Moore's law). But the actual cutting edge is provided to the US military which used pentium 4 in their fighter jets many years before it was availible to public. Even the research shows that moore's law only works with biased data choosing

  4. Technology has to improve before we can see technical improvements in processor speed s transistors need disruptive technology to get a faster turn on or steady state of the device, .the technology is being developed so the patent of quantum computers will be rendered moot as a cheaper alternative will be fabricated.

  5. In reality most developments that at first glance seem to grow exponentially are actually limited growth at the start of the s curve.
    Simple example, growing bacteria in a petri dish: as long as there are plenty nutrients, the bacteria will grow exponentially, and exponential growth would seem the right formula to use, however, at some point the supplied nutrients in the petri dish become the limiting factor for growth, and then the limited growth formula describes what happens better.

  6. Very nice categorizing, there is also a new dawn in the communication aspect, communication and computation are two sides of the same coin, the data processed in one cpu must be conducted to others (parallel processing, distributed computation) or be stored which needs communication, a video on the subject is recommended (xD xD, trying to act super cool (@___@) ).

  7. In 1944, the Harvard Mark 1 was a state-of-the-art computer. It weighed 9000 lbs., 500 miles of wiring and used electromechanical relays. When that technology dried up we had vacuum tubes. When vacuum tubes reached their limit we had transistors. when discrete transistors became unwieldy we develop integrated circuits.

    For some reason, I'm not too pessimistic about the future of computing. It seems when we have a need for the technology, we will develop it.

  8. God I hate that needle scratching a vinyl record sound effect. It means damage to the record which means money lost. Please flash a warning on the screen when one of those is incoming.

  9. I think another reason for the slowdown is motivation. If the average computer/phone used by the average Joe is fast enough for them then companies get lazy. They say we've got great products now so why not slow down and cut the r and d budget? That's how giants like Nortel, BlackBerry, wordperfect, Kodak, Polaroid etc die. Executives with too much compensation get complacent and are unmotivated to innovate. Apple almost died this way too. Fortunately or unfortunately we either have a war or threat that kicks up the urgency and funding to have some new ideas developed

  10. 8:42 I disagree that Moore's law was "never really a law". Or that it's an arbitrary prediction. Whether or not it's a self fulfilling prophecy is interesting but irrelevant. As for "no inevitability": in regards to silicon transistors, maybe; in regards to the trend of the growth of computing power, I think inevitable.
    We're simply at a time where one fundamental law of the universe moves at a rate within our lifespan and attention span. Change. Evolution. And Moore's law is a direct reflection of that.
    If we imagine that we could speak to single celled organisms in the Archean, they would be shy to admit that they were the cutting edge of development in the universe. That doesn't mean it wasn't true. If asked why, they wouldn't know that they were laying the foundations for complex life, for intelligence, for culture/ societies, for computing and on and on into the future. They would have just been like "let's get this bread (heat/ light)."
    That's the same with all those scientists "chasing the goalposts". For who? For the greater good? To make way for the next tier of reality? No, they're (we're) just the wave, just the motion of the universe growing, expanding itself, examining itself.
    This sounds esoteric, but I think as time goes on, this law will become as obvious as gravity.
    It's also not majestic, or spiritual, or something. Not all of those single- celled organisms survived, not all of them were subsumed in larger organisms, and certainly none of them have ever had the opportunity to think "let's get this bread" just because that possibility exists somewhere in the universe.

  11. Moore's law is coming to an end but not in the way you think. They didn't think of the PERMANENT growth and quantum mechanics. It was simply a simple but effective way to calculate a specific technology, at the time. It was specifically due to the cost of a digital camera and justifying the developing technology. It was the Band aid of the time. Now ware are at the end of Silicone based Moore's laws in one respect, smaller. IE Tunneling effect. Now we need parallels computing built into chips until the next gen CPU with multiple cores. The cores need to communicate so that programmers don't have to code to threads. Less coding, faster speeds. New Technology will emerge. Different perimeters will apply. Different Manufacturing laws will also likely apply.

  12. They were talking about optical processors/logic gates at least as far back as the 90s, promising 10ghz CPUs right around the corner..I also remember hearing about some sort of organic technique I think using DNA.

    They must be trying to keep up with fusion power…

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